A new machine learning tool may give companies a competitive edge by identifying tomorrow’s innovations- today.

In a fast-moving business world where spotting the next game-changing technology can mean the difference between market leadership and irrelevance, a new AI model promises to be a powerful ally. The IBID-CCT model—short for Interdisciplinary Breakthrough Innovation Detection using Cusp Catastrophe Theory- acts like an "innovation radar," scanning the scientific landscape to identify breakthrough discoveries before they become widely recognized.

Why does this matter to business leaders? Because many of today’s biggest advances- like gene-editing tool CRISPR-Cas9 (Jinek et al., 2012), or AI-driven drug discovery- don’t emerge from a single discipline. They’re the product of interdisciplinary fusion, combining insights from fields as diverse as computer science, genetics, physics, and engineering. But traditional evaluation tools, like citation counts and journal prestige, often miss these breakthroughs early on.

That’s where the IBID-CCT model shines. It uses machine learning and a theory from complexity science- Cusp Catastrophe Theory (Zeeman, 1976)- to detect sudden shifts in how knowledge flows across disciplines. For businesses, this means earlier visibility into high-impact research, allowing for smarter investment, faster innovation, and strategic partnerships with emerging technologies and research teams.

The model’s value is already being felt. Innovations like CRISPR-Cas9, which drew from microbiology, genetics, and biochemistry, might have flown under the radar if only traditional metrics were used. With IBID-CCT, such breakthroughs could be spotted years earlier—unlocking opportunities for funding, development, and commercialization.

What it means for industry:

  • Smarter R&D investments by recognizing early-stage breakthroughs
  • Faster product development through collaboration with cutting-edge research
  • Competitive advantage by aligning with the science of the future, not the past

The academic foundation behind IBID-CCT is solid. It was developed by researchers using principles from Cusp Catastrophe Theory, which models sudden and dramatic shifts in systems—like a tipping point in innovation. Their findings are published in the July 2025 issue of Information Processing and Management and offer a new way to quantify interdisciplinary “fusions” that often signal major advances.

Learn more:
IBID-CCT: Detecting Interdisciplinary Breakthrough Innovations Based on Cusp Catastrophe Theory
Read the study in Information Processing and Management

 

References (2)

Jinek, M., Chylinski, K., Fonfara, I., Hauer, M., Doudna, J. A., & Charpentier, E. (2012).
A programmable dual-RNA–guided DNA endonuclease in adaptive bacterial immunity. Science, 337(6096), 816–821. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1225829

Zeeman, E. C. (1976). Catastrophe theory. Scientific American, 234(4), 65–83. https://doi.org/10.1038/scientificamerican0476-65